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DREAMS
              Construction Industry                                                                    ON HALT



 Bangladesh Steel Manufacturers Association   THE GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
 (BSMA) and Managing Director of Metrocem   Such scenarios are not just being observed in Bangladesh; but
 Ispat, said that steel prices are rising in the   in all parts of the globe. Despite recent price reductions in raw
 local market as a of the global price hike of   materials such as lumber and steel, mainly in the United
 scraps.  States, European construction material firms continue to face
 Insiders in the real estate industry estimate   greater expenses. As a result, many European manufacturers
 that the increase in mild steel (MS) prices will   expect their output prices to rise even further. According to a
 raise the cost of building apartments and   European Commission poll conducted in July, 40% of concrete,
 homes by 10% to 15%. It will also have an   cement, and brick suppliers anticipated to increase their costs
 impact on the construction prices of several big   even more. The percentage of enterprises expecting to boost
 and small projects, such as bridges, culverts,   the price of lumber and metal is considerably greater.
 and flyovers, they added. A 60-grade MS steel   Nonetheless, it appears that the peak for these products has
 rod was selling for Tk 73,000-75,000 per ton at   passed, but labor constraints and the uncertainty of the
 several markets in the capital, while a 40-grade   pandemic could prolong price stabilization or downward
 MS steel rod was selling for Tk 58,000-60,000   adjustments.
 per ton. Dealers and sellers are concerned that
 prices would continue to rise, with the per ton
 price of 60-grade MS steel reaching Tk 80,000.   GLOBALLY,
 Steel prices in the country have risen by 38% in   CONTRACTORS ARE
 the previous year, according to market insiders,   EXPERIENCING A
 who are concerned that the manufacturing
 costs of public infrastructure projects and   DECREASE IN THEIR
 private residential buildings would drive prices   OVERALL MARGINS
 even higher. Due to limited availability
 resulting from a drop in production in Japan   The cost of construction materials
 and Europe during the pandemic, steel   has increased, putting pressure on
 entrepreneurs say the price of scrap metals has   profit margins. Because profit
 risen dramatically in the worldwide market.   margins in the construction industry
 However, as most economies returned to   are typically between 2 and 4%, this
 normal following widespread vaccination   can quickly lead to loss-making
 efforts, demand for scrap and steel increased.   projects. Generally speaking, there is
 The price of bricks has also drastically   a positive correlation between input   INVENTORIES MUST BE   improvement in inventory for these construction supplies. In
 increased within this time period. The price of   costs for building materials and   IMPROVED  fact, the opposite is true. In July, a record number of building
 one piece of locally produced brick has gone up   output prices of construction   material suppliers complained that the value of their finished
 by Tk 1.5, auto bricks by Tk 2.5, ceramic bricks   projects. Contractor output prices   Suppliers must perceive an improvement in   product inventory was (too) low. As a result, before the costs
 by Tk 5, and concrete bricks by Tk 8. The   climbed faster than input prices   their inventory before they consider cutting   of these building materials stabilize, let alone decline, we
 president of the Real Estate and Housing   from 2018 to the end of 2020, which   sales prices because a growth in their stock   need to see some stock improvement. Taking into account the
 Association of Bangladesh (REHAB), Alamgir   might have resulted in bigger profits. However, due to rising   raises competition and puts lower pressure   six to nine-month price delay, we are not expecting concrete
 Shamsul Alamin, stated that prices of   construction material costs, input prices are swiftly catching up,   on pricing. For example, during the outset of   and cement prices to fall before the summer of 2022.
 practically all sorts of construction materials   with the largest increase in the first quarter of 2021, since   the financial crisis, building material
 had increased by 20% to 30% in the last six   2004, putting pressure on margins.  suppliers began to detect an increase in   THE PRICE OF TIMBER WILL
 months. Evidently, the adverse effects of such   their inventories in April 2007, but it wasn't   DECREASE SOONER RATHER THAN
 price hikes are now being borne by the   TIMBER AND STEEL PRICES ARE   until August 2008 that a growing number of
 Steel prices in Bangladesh are continuing to rise   customers. Mr. Ratul, who was about to finally   enterprises indicated that they expected to   LATER
 as the price of imported raw materials rises in   MORE SENSITIVE THAN CONCRETE,   lower their prices.  Timber and steel prices have a shorter response times. When
 Although many have saved years of their income to buy   the global market. The growing cost of steel,   buy a flat in Mohammadpur in February last   CEMENT, AND BRICK PRICES    building suppliers of these materials observe an improvement
 a piece of land in the city, the global pandemic has   according to real estate entrepreneurs, is having   year, had to face such an unwanted   CONCRETE AND CEMENT   in their inventory, they almost immediately predict fewer price
 brought many such dreams to a screeching halt. Due to   a direct influence on their industry, driving up   consequence. As soon as the global pandemic   There is a global market for steel and lumber, with a large   hikes. The improvement of stocks and price fluctuations are
 global supply chain disruptions, the prices of building   building expenses. Imported melted scrap, which   hit, the development company handed him a   number of buyers and sellers. This makes these marketplaces   COSTS WILL REMAIN   separated by only one or two months. Furthermore, value
 raw materials have risen dramatically in the past couple   is the primary raw material for steel, is currently   notice mentioning that he needs to pay an   more competitive and transparent, resulting in a more direct   HIGH UNTIL AT LEAST   chains must first be established. After severely limiting it
 of years. Buyers are now being forced to purchase at   worth around $550-$590 per ton, up from   additional Tk. 2 lakh for the increased prices of   pass-through of raw material price fluctuations in the value   during the COVID-19 crisis, this could still take some time. For
 higher prices to cover the increased costs. Prices of   $490-$500 per ton just a few months earlier and   the raw materials. As per Rehab data, the   chain. Concrete, cement, and brick markets, on the other hand,    MID-2022  example, transportation remains a major issue. We predict
 everything – starting from cement, rods to even floor tiles   $300-$350 per ton in October of last year.   number of under-construction flats in Dhaka   are huge and heavy, making transportation difficult and   According to correlation studies, sales prices   lumber and steel shortages to persist until at least early 2022
 have continued to rise since last November. Let us take a   Furthermore, the price of iron retrieved from ship   and Chittagong is over 50,000 and all the   expensive. As a result, these markets become less competitive.   of building materials such as concrete,   as a result of value chain disruptions. As a result, elevated
 detailed look into how these price hikes are affecting the   breaking has risen, further increasing the price of   owners now have to pay extra money for their   As a result, procurement price changes are passed on more   bricks, and cement react to changes in the   costs for lumber and steel for construction projects are
 real estate industry of Bangladesh.   steel, according to industry sources. Md   homes. The prices of these flats, depending on   slowly. This could also explain why steel and timber costs   appraisal of their stocks six to nine months   expected to persist for the next few quarters before leveling
 Shahidullah, General Secretary of the   size and materials used, have increased by   have risen faster than others.  later. However, we are currently seeing no
 10%-12%.                                                      off.



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