Page 32 - IBT Full Pdf
P. 32

DREAMS
              Construction Industry                                                                    ON HALT



             Bangladesh Steel Manufacturers Association        THE GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
             (BSMA) and Managing Director of Metrocem          Such scenarios are not just being observed in Bangladesh; but
             Ispat, said that steel prices are rising in the   in all parts of the globe. Despite recent price reductions in raw
             local market as a of the global price hike of     materials such as lumber and steel, mainly in the United
             scraps.                                           States, European construction material firms continue to face
             Insiders in the real estate industry estimate     greater expenses. As a result, many European manufacturers
             that the increase in mild steel (MS) prices will   expect their output prices to rise even further. According to a
             raise the cost of building apartments and         European Commission poll conducted in July, 40% of concrete,
             homes by 10% to 15%. It will also have an         cement, and brick suppliers anticipated to increase their costs
             impact on the construction prices of several big   even more. The percentage of enterprises expecting to boost
             and small projects, such as bridges, culverts,    the price of lumber and metal is considerably greater.
             and flyovers, they added. A 60-grade MS steel     Nonetheless, it appears that the peak for these products has
             rod was selling for Tk 73,000-75,000 per ton at   passed, but labor constraints and the uncertainty of the
             several markets in the capital, while a 40-grade   pandemic could prolong price stabilization or downward
             MS steel rod was selling for Tk 58,000-60,000     adjustments.
             per ton. Dealers and sellers are concerned that
             prices would continue to rise, with the per ton
             price of 60-grade MS steel reaching Tk 80,000.   When building         GLOBALLY,
             Steel prices in the country have risen by 38% in   suppliers of these   CONTRACTORS ARE
             the previous year, according to market insiders,                       EXPERIENCING A
             who are concerned that the manufacturing   materials observe an
             costs of public infrastructure projects and   improvement in their     DECREASE IN THEIR
             private residential buildings would drive prices   inventory, they     OVERALL MARGINS
             even higher. Due to limited availability
             resulting from a drop in production in Japan   almost immediately      The cost of construction materials
             and Europe during the pandemic, steel    predict fewer price           has increased, putting pressure on
             entrepreneurs say the price of scrap metals has   rises. The           profit margins. Because profit
             risen dramatically in the worldwide market.                            margins in the construction industry
             However, as most economies returned to   improvement of                are typically between 2 and 4%, this
             normal following widespread vaccination   stocks and price             can quickly lead to loss-making
             efforts, demand for scrap and steel increased.   fluctuations are       projects. Generally speaking, there is
             The price of bricks has also drastically                               a positive correlation between input                   INVENTORIES MUST BE                              improvement in inventory for these construction supplies. In
             increased within this time period. The price of   separated by only    costs for building materials and                       IMPROVED                                         fact, the opposite is true. In July, a record number of building
             one piece of locally produced brick has gone up   one or two months.   output prices of construction                                                                           material suppliers complained that the value of their finished
             by Tk 1.5, auto bricks by Tk 2.5, ceramic bricks                       projects. Contractor output prices                     Suppliers must perceive an improvement in        product inventory was (too) low. As a result, before the costs
             by Tk 5, and concrete bricks by Tk 8. The                              climbed faster than input prices                       their inventory before they consider cutting     of these building materials stabilize, let alone decline, we
             president of the Real Estate and Housing                               from 2018 to the end of 2020, which                    sales prices because a growth in their stock     need to see some stock improvement. Taking into account the
             Association of Bangladesh (REHAB), Alamgir        might have resulted in bigger profits. However, due to rising               raises competition and puts lower pressure       six to nine-month price delay, we are not expecting concrete
             Shamsul Alamin, stated that prices of             construction material costs, input prices are swiftly catching up,          on pricing. For example, during the outset of    and cement prices to fall before the summer of 2022.
             practically all sorts of construction materials   with the largest increase in the first quarter of 2021, since               the financial crisis, building material
             had increased by 20% to 30% in the last six       2004, putting pressure on margins.                                          suppliers began to detect an increase in         THE PRICE OF TIMBER WILL
             months. Evidently, the adverse effects of such                                                                                their inventories in April 2007, but it wasn't   DECREASE SOONER RATHER THAN
             price hikes are now being borne by the            TIMBER AND STEEL PRICES ARE                                                 until August 2008 that a growing number of
 Steel prices in Bangladesh are continuing to rise   customers. Mr. Ratul, who was about to finally                                        enterprises indicated that they expected to      LATER
 as the price of imported raw materials rises in               MORE SENSITIVE THAN CONCRETE,                                               lower their prices.                              Timber and steel prices have a shorter response times. When
 Although many have saved years of their income to buy   the global market. The growing cost of steel,   buy a flat in Mohammadpur in February last   CEMENT, AND BRICK PRICES              building suppliers of these materials observe an improvement
 a piece of land in the city, the global pandemic has   according to real estate entrepreneurs, is having   year, had to face such an unwanted   CONCRETE AND CEMENT                        in their inventory, they almost immediately predict fewer price
 brought many such dreams to a screeching halt. Due to   a direct influence on their industry, driving up   consequence. As soon as the global pandemic   There is a global market for steel and lumber, with a large   hikes. The improvement of stocks and price fluctuations are
 global supply chain disruptions, the prices of building   building expenses. Imported melted scrap, which   hit, the development company handed him a   number of buyers and sellers. This makes these marketplaces   COSTS WILL REMAIN   separated by only one or two months. Furthermore, value
 raw materials have risen dramatically in the past couple   is the primary raw material for steel, is currently   notice mentioning that he needs to pay an   more competitive and transparent, resulting in a more direct   HIGH UNTIL AT LEAST   chains must first be established. After severely limiting it
 of years. Buyers are now being forced to purchase at   worth around $550-$590 per ton, up from   additional Tk. 2 lakh for the increased prices of   pass-through of raw material price fluctuations in the value   during the COVID-19 crisis, this could still take some time. For
 higher prices to cover the increased costs. Prices of   $490-$500 per ton just a few months earlier and   the raw materials. As per Rehab data, the   chain. Concrete, cement, and brick markets, on the other hand,    MID-2022  example, transportation remains a major issue. We predict
 everything – starting from cement, rods to even floor tiles   $300-$350 per ton in October of last year.   number of under-construction flats in Dhaka   are huge and heavy, making transportation difficult and   According to correlation studies, sales prices   lumber and steel shortages to persist until at least early 2022
 have continued to rise since last November. Let us take a   Furthermore, the price of iron retrieved from ship   and Chittagong is over 50,000 and all the   expensive. As a result, these markets become less competitive.   of building materials such as concrete,   as a result of value chain disruptions. As a result, elevated
 detailed look into how these price hikes are affecting the   breaking has risen, further increasing the price of   owners now have to pay extra money for their   As a result, procurement price changes are passed on more   bricks, and cement react to changes in the   costs for lumber and steel for construction projects are
 real estate industry of Bangladesh.   steel, according to industry sources. Md   homes. The prices of these flats, depending on   slowly. This could also explain why steel and timber costs   appraisal of their stocks six to nine months   expected to persist for the next few quarters before leveling
 Shahidullah, General Secretary of the   size and materials used, have increased by   have risen faster than others.                       later. However, we are currently seeing no
             10%-12%.                                                                                                                                                                       off.



                                                                                                             31
                                                                                                 www.ibtbd.net
   27   28   29   30   31   32   33   34   35   36   37