Page 66 - IBT October 2020
P. 66

Economic Growth




            Recovering





            From A




            Pandemic








                                               By Nasirra Ahsan

























             The world is braced for recession
             even after governments and                                                  economic consequences.
             central banks have pumped                                                   As many economies take
             trillions of dollars into their                                             their first steps towards
             economies and slashed interest                                              reopening, there’s been lots
             rates. Millions of people are out                                           of debate on an alphabet
             of work, financial markets have                                             soup of recovery paths from
             been rocked, small businesses                                               V-shaped, L-Shaped to
             have gone belly up and supply                                               U-shaped. These graphs are a
             chains have faced major                                                     measure of economic
             disruption as factories around the                                          performance over time.
             world have closed. "How bad will                                            Economists use the shape of
             it be?" and "How soon will we                                               the graph as a shorthand to
             recover?" are likely the questions                                          describe the recovery process
             that are plaguing businesses and                                            after a crisis like a recession,
             individuals globally.                                                       financial crisis or external
             The measures taken by the                                                   shock like the coronavirus.
             Government of Bangladesh and                                                Of course, economists don’t
             other nations around the world to                                           always agree on what the
             manage the COVID-19                                                         recovery process is likely to
             pandemic—restricting travel,                                                look like, and predictions for
             shuttering nonessential                                                     the outcome of the current
             businesses and implementing                                                 crisis run the gamut from a
             universal social distancing                                                 sharp recovery to a slow
             policies—have had severe
                                                                                         paced one.

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