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Global Economy                                                      GLOBAL PENSION PROBLEM:
                                                                                       Dynamics and Solutions




 GLOBAL      INCREASING LIFE

 PENSION CRISIS  EXPECTANCY
             The pension crisis is not related
 It is important to know how the   directly to the reduction of population.
 government pension system works to   But as of 2021, developed economies,
 understand the current crisis. Currently,   and the developing world in total,
 three kinds of economic backup systems   have had tremendous success in
 can be classified as pension plans. One   maintaining a higher average life
 is individual savings and another is   expectancy than previous decades.
 private funds, namely through banks.   Take Japan for example. The
 However, the major pension system is   retirement age is 60 in Japan. This was
 the one funded by the government.   fine in the 1960s and 1980s when the
 Public funded pensions draw from   country was facing population growth.
 current workers' salaries to pay   But with time, Japan’s highly modern   PROPOSED SOLUTIONS
 pensions to retirees.  living standard has ensured people
 Currently, all the 32 OECD countries,   live longer and a reduced fertility rate.   Welfare systems in OECD and many developing countries set
 plus China, India, and other major   Thus, Japanese life expectancy has   aside large amounts of cash for public subsidies. In developed
 economies of the world owe a large   shot up from 67 in the 1960s to   countries, issues of medical or education subsidies are the
 portion of the money to retirees and   almost 84 in 2015. So naturally, the   cornerstone in politics. Now the looming pension crisis has
 upcoming retirees. Most of these   government has to pay pensions for   raised difficult questions like how to afford to pay retirees.
 countries have a strong social security   longer and longer terms for each   For decades, China has maintained a strict one child per
 plan which takes care of citizens’   retiree. While the population is also   family policy. However, the situation is reversed now as the
 unemployment, medical care, housing,   aging at the same time, numbers of   Chinese government is encouraging young couples to have
 and many other basic facilities through   new workers are declining. As stated   more kids. Many well-developed economies offer various
 public funds. As the number of retirees   earlier, government pension plans are   forms of support, money, and other facilities to encourage
 is growing fast compared to new entries   simply finding it difficult to pay for     population growth too. Most of
 in the job market, public funds are   such a long duration. The problem is           the developed world has a median
 running short of what is needed to pay   THE CYCLE OF   also acute in other major Western   Housing, medical   age of more than 40. Encouraging
 to older generations in the future.   nations like Germany, the USA, and   care, school, and   the growth of the younger
 Various estimates put the number of the   POPULATION   the UK. With the growth of average   other expenses,   population is viewed and enforced
 shortfall at 70 trillion USD by 2020. At   life expectancy, the median age is        as a suitable solution for many of
 this rate, by 2050 pensioners will be   GROWTH AND   increasing, creating a cycle where   flexibility for   them. Another solution is
 owed a whopping 400 trillion USD by   DECLINE  former workers are to be paid for   working mothers, etc   immigration. But the issue of
 the governments. The sum is five times   longer durations for 2 decades or           immigration itself has major
 larger than the projected world economy   A 2017 study by The Lancet   more.  all are somewhat   socio-political consequences and
 at that time (80 trillion USD). Major   shows global fertility rate and   contributing to   is a topic of hot debate.
 economies are trying hard to solve the   the number of live births per               In OECD states, less than half of
 puzzle without disturbing the living   woman halved from 4.7 to 2.4   SOCIO-   reduced growth   people aged between 55 and 64
 standard or average life expectancy.   as it is continuing to decline.   ECONOMIC   rates across the   are employed. Many choose early
 Economies just cannot sustain paying   Stats show the population of a                retirement or other forms of
 more and more to a bulging retired   certain country starts to fall if   ISSUES  globe.  exemption given that most of
 population.  the birth rate is below 2.1. As   The rise in obesity, environmental    those countries have strong social
 for evidence, most of the   factors, poverty, urbanization, and all                  security systems. Countries are
 developed countries are
 REASONS  experiencing a shrinking population and even mammoth   of its complexities, has reduced the   also trying to stop the chances of early retirement to fight the
                                                               bulging payment. Proposed solutions include an overall
 As of 2015, at least 75% of shortfalls in   populations like China will also shrink in the future. The   overall interest of younger generations   remodeling of retirement plans, encouraging people to have
 a global pension are due to a lack of   Lancet report predicts the global population to peak by 9.7   to form a family or give birth.   longer careers, the use of automation to help older people in
 public funds. The rest of the shortfalls   billion in the 2060s and then drop to 8.8 billion by 2100. The   Housing, medical care, school, and   the workplace, etc.
 belong to personal savings and private   pension crisis rose as a sign of this versatile problem.  other expenses, flexibility for working   In the case of major developing and newly industrialized
 pension systems. While the public fund   On a local scale, developed or major economies strongly   mothers, etc. all are somewhat   countries (India, Brazil, South Africa, Philippines, Indonesia,
 shortfalls are already prevailing, private   depend on immigrants to cover the lessening workforce but,   contributing to reduced growth rates   etc), a large part of the economy is in informal sectors, the
 funds are also short of cash. Ongoing   the global trend of population decline is uninterrupted as of   across the globe. Delaying to start a   population is largely younger, and social benefit plans are not
 pandemics and economic recession have   2021. Developing nations have been experiencing a declining   family due to a career or other reasons   well encompassing so governments are not yet burdened to
 impacted every sector of private-public   growth rate as governments there have strong policies to   is also lessening the chance of   pay. But with fast-paced developments, pension crises are to
 economic life.  reduce population size.  conception.          soon loom over these economies too.



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