Page 68 - ICE BUSINESS TIMES February 2020
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to watch the war they are waging on                                  "General Atomics is the top vendor
 having to fly their drones while sat in        SEVERAL FACTORS ARE
 a nearby manned aircraft. Moreover,   the other side of the world, live on TV   SAID TO DRIVE THE   that owns more than a third of the
             from anywhere in the world.
                                                                                  Defense market at more than $4
 they were overshadowed by globe                ANTICIPATED RISE IN
 spanning satellite networks and much   America’s drones started life as spy   GLOBAL INVESTMENT   billion," the research states. "Northrop
             planes and were augmented over the
                                                                                  Grumman is a distant second with
 advanced, supersonic manned spy
 planes, such as the U-2 and SR-71   years to become assassination   IN PREDATOR   less than half of that capture.
             weapons. They have been hovering up
                                                                                  Combined, these top two vendors
 Blackbird.                                     DRONES. ONE IS THAT
 Major progress of drones came with   information, feeding the military’s   MANY ARMED FORCES   account for more than 50 percent of
             insatiable demand for battlefield
                                                                                  the UAS market. Textron owns 10
 the help of an Israeli aviation genius   intelligence, and finding and killing   ARE ACQUIRING   percent of the market, while Boeing
 who in the 1970s started to develop   terrorists and insurgents.                 rounds out the top four with seven
 aircraft with glider-like properties.          UNMANNED AERIAL                   percent."
 Incredibly long, thin wings that could         VEHICLES FOR THE
 hold the plane aloft at altitude for   THE INDUSTRY  FIRST TIME AND
 hours on end, on a more than 24   Global spending on unmanned aerial   PURSUING NEW   DRONE-BACKED
 hours flight.  vehicles is set for a major expansion   CAPABILITIES, HE SAID.    NATIONS
 This endurance is a fundamental   in the coming decade as militaries
 reason why today’s armed drones,   invest about $98 billion in new   THE OTHER REASON IS   According to a report from the Center
 such as the General Atomics Reaper   intelligence gathering and strike   THAT THERE IS A   for the Study of the Drone, predator
 drone, are so in vogue. The key is   capabilities, experts say. The Teal   GROWING DEMAND   drone technology has spread to 95
 keeping the pilots on the ground: the   Group, an aerospace and defense   FOR INTELLIGENCE,   countries, a massive increase over the
 drones are lighter than manned   industry market analysis firm, expects   SURVEILLANCE AND   only 60 countries that possessed this
 aircraft and they don’t have to land   worldwide research-and-development        kind of technology roughly a decade
 solution to the Zeppelin menace. In   when they get tired, they just swap   and procurement spending on   RECONNAISSANCE   ago. The U.S., Israel, China, Iran and
 the autumn of 1916 these bullets   seats with a fresh crew.  predator drones to rise from a   ASSETS AS NATIONS   Russia are the superpowers that are
                                                                                  leading the race in terms of
 were used to shoot down one of these   Their ability to loiter proved   projected $11.1 billion in 2020 to   FOCUS ON
 marauding airships, finally ending   invaluable in the 1990s, during the   $14.3 billion by 2029 — nearly a 30   INFORMATION   developing and deploying predator
                                                                                  drones for their national interests.
 their reign of total aerial supremacy.   escalating conflict in the former   percent increase. R&D spending is   WARFARE.
 The success of the bullets removed   Yugoslavia. There was a dearth of   forecasted to grow from $3.2 billion in   Drones rapidly proliferated in a second
                                                                                  wave over the past five years, with
 the need for an uncrewed aircraft to   good intelligence about Serbian tank   2020 to $4 billion in 2029. According
 attack airships. However, by then   and troop movements. U.S. supersonic   to Steve Zaloga, one of the company’s   Pakistan and Turkey developing their
                                                                                  own programmes. Since 2016, Turkey
 Low’s team had made such   jets were struggling to spot the   senior analysts, the U.S. is expected to
 encouraging progress with their   Serbian forces in the thick Balkan   lead the race from the front, with R&D   has used drones heavily, against the
                                                                                  separatist Kurdish PKK in its own
 'drone' remote control system that   forests but the drones could stay on   spending increasing from an
 the military continued to support this   station for 24 hours at a time, and   estimated $2.2 billion in 2020 to $2.7   country, in northern Iraq and more
                                                                                  recently against Kurdish groups in
 innovative project.  kept their unblinking eye on their   billion in 2029, and procurement
 The first trial of the drone was held   targets.  ramping up from $2.5 billion in 2020   Syria. China, meanwhile, has begun
                                                                                  supplying a range of countries with its
 on Wednesday 21 March 1917 at the   Combining this loitering with the   to about $3.3 billion by the end of the
 RFC Central Flying School base at   second crucial advance, the use of   decade.  Wing Loong and CH series drones,
                                                                                  including to the U.A.E – where they
 Upavon on Salisbury Plain. The 'pilot'   transmitters to send the footage   Several factors are said to drive the
 was none other than Henry Segrave,   straight back to battlefield   anticipated rise in global investment   have been used in a string of deadly
                                                                                  strikes in Libya – as well as Egypt,
 who would later go on to hold both   commanders, is credited with   in predator drones. One is that many
 the land-speed and water-speed   convincing Nato generals they needed   armed forces are acquiring unmanned   Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Iraq,
                                                                                  although not every country has been
 world records, not to mention a   to start bombing the Serbs again, so   aerial vehicles for the first time and
 knighthood. The first drone failed to   hastening the signing of the Dayton   pursuing new capabilities, he said.   able to deploy what it has bought.
                                                                                  Predator drones have already changed
 launch correctly; but the second one   peace accords.  The other reason is that there is a
 THE BEGINNING  somehow managed to hover in the   The U.S. has since taken those Balkan   growing demand for intelligence,   warfare, providing a more efficient
                                                                                  alternative to conventional aerial
 The man responsible for creating the   air. And that is how, 14 years after   systems further. The signal to control   surveillance and reconnaissance   Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd.,   missions. But experts worry that they
                                                Leonardo, Northrop Grumman,
 first predator drone would be British   the Wright Brothers’ flight and two   them, and the returning video footage,   assets as nations focus on   Textron Systems. and Lockheed   make it easier for countries to embark
 are now transmitted through satellite
             information warfare. Experts have
 inventor Dr. Archibald Low. Dr Low was   years into the first World War, the   networks, not radio waves. In 2000   also speculated that drones are likely   Martin are the companies that   on wars and undeclared “shadow
 recruited into the Royal Flying Corps to   first ever radio-controlled drone   the U.S. took the final leap forward   to become “loyal wingman”, i.e. they   dominate the industry of predator   wars”, and put non-combatants at
 develop the control system for an   finally took off.  first remote-controlled aircraft named   when the Air Force and CIA became   can accompany manned fighter jets   drones. According to market research   greater risk. So, while predator drones
 Radioplane OQ-2. This is marked as
 uncrewed aircraft, covertly named   the first to successfully fit drones with   into battle or conduct attacks on their   firm Govini, General Atomics,   are on the rise, we can only hope for
 ‘Aerial Targets’. In these desperate times   DEVELOPMENTS  the world’s first mass-produced   missiles, as part of a failed CIA   own.  Northrop Grumman, Textron and   the increase in usage of drones in the
 Unmanned Aerial Vehicle product.
 it was hoped that they would be capable   Drones were still in their infancy   attempt to kill Osama bin Laden.  Despite being a mammoth industry,   Boeing account for 66 percent of the   ‘better’ aspects of life – delivering
 of attacking the German airships that,   stage during the Second World War   Drones were still only a niche   These satellite controlled hunter-killer   the game is in the hands of a very few,   $9 billion U.S. predator drone market.   products, business, journalism and
 technology during the Cold War. They
 from 1915, flew regular bombing flights   and during the Cold War. In the   drones allow pilots to control their   powerful companies. BAE Systems   The General Atomics MQ-9 Reaper   even in humanitarian aid. Only then
 over London. Archie Low was also set to   Second World War, U.S. military   were unreliable, small yet expensive,   aircraft from half a world away and it   Inc., Aerovironment Inc., Boeing,   alone accounted for more than a   shall we be able to do justice to this
 and pilots had to be within range of
 work assisting with the development of   personnel Reginald Denny made the   allows generals, spies and politicians   General Atomic, China Aerospace,   quarter of the market.  invention.
 an explosive bullet, another intended   their analogue radio signals, often
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