Page 73 - IBT December 2020
P. 73

contraction of 6% instead of   business, export, and   medicines, masks, and   whopping demand for
             the expected mark of 3.8%.   tourism activities and the   other medical equipment,   chinese products. Many are
             By the start of 2020, these   rising cost of food,   home equipment worth    still dependent on China
             three economies had a     government-induced        billions of dollars. Many   thanks to its large
             combined nominal GDP of   subsidies, and healthcare is   countries were not well   manufacturing sector and
             at least 3.3 trillion USD.   the prime reason behind the   prepared to handle the   powerful resource
             The Philippines and India   lower than expected     situation created by the   management system.
             have found it very difficult   contraction.         virus, triggering a
             to curb the spread of                                                        A not so bright
             viruses. Also, a very large   China: Only
             part of these economies is                                                   future ahead
             mostly informal.          exception                 Despite sluggish         Despite sluggish growth
             Lockdown, limited         China, the world’s        growth and               and contraction, Asian
             transport, and shut down of   second-largest economy,                        governments are hopeful
             many factories and        however, remains an       contraction,             for a full return to economic
             businesses has seriously   exception not only in Asia   Asian                activities. But it seems
             hampered the economic     but in the world scenario.   governments           highly unlikely till a
             growth in these regions.   Very few Asian countries                          reliable vaccine is invented
             The massive population of   are expected to see growth.   are hopeful for a   and made available.
             Asian countries was       And China is surpassing   full return to           Without vaccines, a
             severely affected due to   IMF projection in that                            full-fledged economic
             inadequate measures to    regard. The Chinese       economic                 recovery is a far cry since
             contain the virus.        economy was expected to   activities. But it       there is always the fear of
             Southeast Asia is especially   see a 1% growth by June,   seems highly       infection.
             hard hit. These economies   but now it is expected to                        Today’s world is
             are mostly export-oriented,   see a 1.9% increase. This is   unlikely till a   interconnected. Business
             also heavily dependent on   quite a comeback for China.   reliable vaccine   runs overseas and one
             tourism. Both sectors saw a   It was the first to                            region’s economic
             sharp decrease due to the   experience the wrath of   is invented and        disruption affects others.
             pandemic. World bank      COVID-19. But China took   made available.         Moreover, export-oriented
             projects at least 38 million   harsh and effective                           economies of Asia are
             ‘new poor’ will result from   measures and implemented                       highly dependent on North
             these job losses in       them quickly throughout                            America and Europe. Both
             Southeast Asia alone. Also,   the country. The                               of the regions are the
             the oil price war between   infrastructure and real                          hardest hit in the COVID-19
             Russia and Saudi Arabia,   estate market in China is                         pandemic, thus a sharp
             Japan’s stagnant economy,   expanding. And the Chinese                       decrease in demand for
             and the rising number of   government took the                               consumer products is
             affected people in        opportunity to export                              hampering full recovery for
             Singapore, Indonesia, and                                                    the Asian countries. To
             South Korea; all have to do                                                  make matters worse,
             with the contraction in the                                                  second waves of the
             total Asian economy. A                                                       pandemic have already
             sharp drop in oil price and                                                  begun affecting the
             demand has also hampered                                                     developed world. Cheap
             Middle Eastern oil                                                           labor made Asian
 South Korea, Japan, or   recovery, and in the face of                                    economies profitable for
 Indonesia were in focus   the second wave of   economies. Some countries,                foreign investors, but with
 from global economic   COVID-19, things don’t look   like Indonesia, Vietnam or          many factories closed
 forecasters. In June 2020,   very bright for Asia in the   Bangladesh are not yet        down, an increasing
 the International Monetary   coming future.  facing severe contraction,                  infection rate in India,
 The coronavirus started in   Fund (IMF) said the Asian   expecting a contraction of   but the fall of Indian and   Indonesia, and many other
             other Southeast Asian
 China, an Asian country.   economy will see a   Why the   4.5% but it faced 10.3%   giants is certainly affecting   Asian countries with large
 Though it spread   contraction of 1.6% this   contraction  instead. The same goes for   the overall Asian picture.   populations and a lack of
 throughout the world,   year. However, recently they   the Philippines and   IMF forecast includes the   investment means full
 everyone kept an eye on   have revised the data and   The IMF says some major   Malaysia. By June 2020, the   fact that the rising number   recovery remains uncertain.
 Asian countries. With their   projected a 2.2%   Asian economies didn’t fare   Philippino economy was   of affected sectors thanks to   Overall, conditions don’t
 thriving population and   contraction. Several major   as expected during the   expected to contract by 3.6%   the second wave - a halt in   seem very bright for the
 massive economies,   Asian giants are said to be   COVID-19 pandemic. For   but it was 8.3% in reality.   construction and small   Asian economies.
 countries like India, China,   lagging in terms of   example, India was   Malaysia too experienced a

                                                                                                             71
                                                                                                 www.ibtbd.net
   68   69   70   71   72   73   74   75   76   77   78